Saturday Prediction and Open Thread

Paul Berman's Terror and Liberalism seems to be the primary source of reference on Islamic terrorism for many British Decents. Nick Cohen praises Ayaan Hirsi Ali in terms which the Pope might find overly effulgent when applied to Mary. Reconciliation: Islam, Democracy and the West would be an ideal title for a book, even if it wasn't by the first democratically elected female leader of a Muslim country. Even better, while the Telegraph thinks the "book ... received its finishing touches on the day of Benazir Bhutto's assassination" the LA Times Tim Rutten (link goes to the San Jose Mercury which reproduces the review online) says it "was finished just two days before the Harvard- and Oxford-educated Bhutto, 55, was killed". Already, I see a myth in the making. Facts - who did what when - are not what they seem.

Today's Telegraph carries the second review in two days (other papers have none so far), this time by Sameer Rahim. When I say review, by the way, I mean sustained personal attack. Here's something I didn't know.

But it is most instructive to compare her rhetoric with her record as prime minister. She complains about the rise of the "Taliban dictatorship" in Afghanistan, yet when she was prime minister she authorised aid to them and told President Clinton they would be a stabilising influence. In Daughter of the East she claims - oddly - that after she was replaced by Nawaz Sharif in 1997, "the Taliban changed colour and character".

Rahim also alleges she and her family stole $1.5 billion ("Bhutto declared her income as no more than $42,000, [but] the family bought a $3.5 million estate in Surrey") and that she was behind the murder of her brother.

I can't see Nick Cohen or Oliver Kamm passing up the opportunity to review the book. Which way shall they go? My money is on martyrdom. What say ye?

I really can't see David Aaronovitch not having something to say about the Cameron 'Auschwitz gimmick' row. At the moment, I'm not clear about what each party has actually said. The BBC seems to be wrong here:

A row has broken out over Conservative claims that Labour had not lived up to a promise of free educational visits to Auschwitz concentration camp.

But Labour have never promised "free educational visits" from the point of view of schools; according to the Observer blog:

he Labour party insisted today that since it began taking schoolchildren to Auschwitz in 1998, at an average cost of £350 per pupil, the Holocaust Educational Trust has always asked schools to contribute £100 towards the cost of each trip.

So 'free' has always meant 'free' for pupils (in theory), though obviously not if the school decides to get money by asking the parents. However, I wonder if Aaro, Kamm, Norman Geras, and Harry's Place will really let Ed Balls get away with this:

"This is a truly disgraceful remark by David Cameron and he should apologise immediately for the offence he has caused," Balls said. "Anyone who has seen the horrors of Auschwitz at first hand knows what a life-changing experience it is."

Ed, Ed, Ed, mate, you were born in 1967. They closed Auschwitz [updated for clarity that is the concentration camp] 22 years earlier. Your first-hand experience is like mine - that is, we've seen "Schindler's List" and Jeremy Isaac's "The World at War". Much fun may ensue from this, or perhaps not.